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Rajoy has until the debate on the state of the nation to decide if there is a...

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Mariano Rajoy still has not decided whether or not to face a government crisis, which in principle would have to occur before the debate on the state of the nation, scheduled for the end of February, possibly on the 25th. The reason why it is convenient to clear up this mystery before the Plenary Session of Congress is that it would not be politically understandable for it to be submitted to that debate , in which the president presents and summarizes the work carried out by the Executive, and therefore of all his ministers, and shortly after he announced that he was changing some of them. This is the analysis heard from sources close to the PP leadership. I would prefer not to change the Government According to these sources, consulted by El Confidencial Digital, the president has three options: a broad renewal of the Government, a short renewal, or, finally, not touching the Cabinet . "If it were up to him, he wouldn't touch the Government at all," add the cited sources. The need to proceed or not to immediately renew his team has to do with the urgency of appointing the number one on the Popular Party list to the European Parliament. If the nominee is a minister , as is usually advisable to give strength to the candidacy, then a readjustment will be inevitable. state of the nation The cited sources affirm that for Mariano Rajoy the first thing is the decision on the change of Government, and the second thing is the nomination of the candidate for Europe.

And the perception that exists in his environment and in the party is that he would 'prefer' to leave things as they are and avoid a ministerial remodeling. If he chose to keep the Cabinet untouchable, the strongest option so far would be ruled out: the Phone Number List  appointment of Miguel Arias Cañete as head of the list for the European Parliament, given his aspiration to become a European commissioner in the future. Herrera or Pedro Sanz to Agriculture Arias Cañete, for his part, has no desire to run in the May elections . And, in fact, his proposal is to remain in the Ministry of Agriculture until he is appointed commissioner, something that is certain and will happen in the month of October. In this hypothesis, Mariano Rajoy would then have to face, in October, the ministerial reshuffle , which could also be broader, in order to face the last stretch of the legislature before the general elections. If the nomination of Arias Cañete were to occur now, and therefore he leaves the ministry, the most popular candidates to go to Agriculture are two regional presidents, both on their way out: Juan Vicente Herrera (Castilla y León) and Pedro Sanz (La Rioja) . De Guindos, Soria, Margallo In addition to the appointment of Arias Cañete as European commissioner, something that seems practically certain, Mariano Rajoy maintains other aspirations linked to other names of ministers.



There are possibilities that Luis de Guindos could end up as president of the Eurogroup, and Rajoy would try, if possible, for another commissioner for Spain, which could then correspond to José Manuel Soria (Industry), or José Manuel García Margallo (Foreign Affairs), who has clear European vocation. Sands to Europe? The discarding of Arias Cañete by Rajoy as a candidate for Europe, to avoid having to now proceed to a government crisis, raises the question of which person will head the PP list for the Strasbourg Parliament . In this situation, in some areas of the party the name of Javier Arenas has begun to be bandied about as a possible number one candidate. However, PP sources consulted by ECD maintain that in reality what Arenas would like is to be minister again . In the absence of other names, Ramón Valcárcel , president of Murcia, is cited as an alternative to head the PP list, despite not being as well known at the national level. On Génova Street what is said now is that in reality the head of the list is not that important (remember that Abel Matutes was number one in his day), because in reality those who "run" for those elections are the PP and Mariano Rajoy . Báñez and the mystery of Andalusia Another of the unknowns that mark Mariano Rajoy's calendar, when it comes to whether or not to face a government crisis, is the situation of the party in Andalusia , and more specifically the need to name the person who will be the PP candidate for the presidency. of the Board.


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